Holding Libya Together: Security Challenges afte Qadhafi Middle East/North Africa Report N°115 International Crisis Group EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS As the recent upsurge of violence dramatically illustrates, the militias that were decisive in ousting Qadhafi’s regime are becoming a significant problem now that it is gone. Their number is a mystery: 100 according to some; [...]
Indonesia: Trouble Again in Ambon International Crisis Group OVERVIEW Clashes on 11 September between Muslims and Christians in Ambon, capital of Maluku province, and sporadic incidents thereafter raised fears of a return to the communal fighting that wracked the region from 1999 to 2002. This time, an extraordinary effort by grassroots “peace provocateurs” and local [...]
Myanmar: Major Reform Underway Asia Briefing N°127 International Crisis Group OVERVIEW Six months after the transition to a new, semi-civilian government, major changes are taking place in Myanmar. In the last two months, President Thein Sein has moved rapidly to begin implementing an ambitious reform agenda first set out in his March 2011 [...]
North Kosovo Set for a Day of Tensions By Marko Prelec International Crisis Group Today, 16 September, the EU and NATO have begun to implement a new custom regime between Kosovo and Serbia which is supported by the Kosovo government but rejected by Serbia and local Serbs who have set up their own roadblocks. The [...]
Violence and Politics in Venezuela International Crisis Group EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Every half hour, a person is killed in Venezuela. The presence of organised crime combined with an enormous number of firearms in civilian hands and impunity, as well as police corruption and brutality, have entrenched violence in society. While such problems did not begin with [...]
Macedonia: Ten Years after the Conflict International Crisis Group EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS Ten years after signature of the Ohrid Framework Agreement (OFA) that ended fighting between the country’s ethnic Albanians and Macedonians, much of the agreement has been implemented, and a resumption of armed conflict is unlikely. Macedonia is justified in celebrating its success [...]
Aid and Conflict in Afghanistan International Crisis Group EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS After a decade of major security, development and humanitarian assistance, the international community has failed to achieve a politically stable and economically viable Afghanistan. Despite billions of dollars in aid, state institutions remain fragile and unable to provide good governance, deliver basic services [...]
Popular Protest in North Africa and the Middle East (VIII): Bahrain’s Rocky Road to Reform International Crisis Group EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS Following a spasm of violence, Bahrain faces a critical choice between endemic instability and slow but steady progress toward political reform. The most sensible way forward is to launch a new, genuine dialogue [...]
Reconciliation in Sri Lanka: Harder than Ever International Crisis Group EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS Two years since the defeat of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), Sri Lanka is further from reconciliation than ever. Triumphalist in its successful “war on terror”, the government of President Mahinda Rajapaksa has refused to acknowledge, let alone address, [...]
Strangers at Home: North Koreans in the South International Crisis Group EXECUTIVE SUMMARY As the number of defectors from North Korea arriving in the South has surged in the past decade, there is a growing understanding of how difficult it would be to absorb a massive flow of refugees. South Korea is prosperous and generous, [...]
Sudan after the South’s Independence International Crisis Group 1. The Current Situation On 9 July 2011, Africa’s largest country split in two, formalising the long-awaited independence of South Sudan following decades of war and acrimony between North and South. While the January 2011 referendum on Southern self-determination passed relatively peacefully, under close international scrutiny, tensions [...]
Popular Protest in North Africa and the Middle East (VI): The Syrian People’s Slow-motion Revolution International Crisis Group EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Syrian uprising has defied conventional expectations and patterns established elsewhere in the region from the outset. It happened, first of all, and to many that in itself was surprising enough. The regime was not [...]
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